Toolbox for Strategic Truck Forecasting

Quarterly Reports Other Documents Final Report
Final Report

Primary Investigator

Alan J. Horowitz
University of Wisconsin — Milwaukee
PO Box 784, Milwaukee WI  53201
horowitz@uwm.edu

Abstract

This project will be multiphase effort to develop a toolbox of methods for estimating truck flows on highways in US cities and on rural roads when doing project-level decision making.  These tools differ radically from the conventional 4-step model that is used for most long-range metropolitan planning.  Because the time-horizon for project planning is short, the tools need data which is readily available.  However, there is a need to only forecast a few months or years into the future.  Such tools lean heavily on statistical methods, principally time-series models and synthetic OD (origin-destination) table estimation.  To facilitate this project UWM will leverage its participation in NCHRP Project 8-83, which will encompass traffic forecasting tools for trucks.

Objectives

Develop a set of straight-forward tools for truck forecasting by modifying and enhancing those tools developed for state DOTs for all traffic.

Tasks

  1. Review state DOT guidelines on traffic forecasting.
  2. Assemble candidate tools from previous and on-going projects.
  3. Revise and adapt tools.
  4. Develop simple, but realistic, case studies.
  5. Write working paper.

Project Information

  • Dates: Project completion on May 20, 2013
  • Budget: $25,000 (with $29,000 in matching funds)
  • Student Involvement: One graduate student
  • Modal Orientation: Highway
  • Project ID: CFIRE 05-18
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